Sweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · Västra Götaland - 917:00
LindomeWLLLL

2 – 1

Friday, 22 May 2026

TorslandaWLWLL

· Analysis updated 06:25 UTC

Lindome vs Torslanda Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for Lindome and 1.53 for Torslanda, a combined total of 3.76. That distribution gives Lindome the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Lindome win

53.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.23 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Lindome home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Torslanda away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Lindome to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 20% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.23 goals for Lindome and 1.53 for Torslanda, a combined 3.76 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Lindome win54%
Draw20%
Torslanda win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 3–16.6%
  • 1–26.1%

Recent form

Lindome

  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Onsala · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Astrio · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Åstorp · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Jonsered · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-26T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Dalstorps · 2-2 (D)

Torslanda

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Onsala · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Västra Frölunda · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kongahälla · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Landvetter IS · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lindome · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Västra Götaland table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Landvetter IS2417342354
2Dalstorps2413742146
3Jonsered241266342
4Hestrafor241257941
5Lindome241149637
6Västra Frölunda241077637
7Böljan24978434
8Qviding FIF2410410034
9Onsala248610-430
10Torslanda247710-328
11Kongahälla247611-1027
12Åstorp247512-1226
13Galtabacks245514-820
14Astrio242418-3510

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Lindome win, at 53.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.