· Analysis updated 07:29 UTC
Linköping W vs Gamla Upsala W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Linköping W and 1.43 for Gamla Upsala W, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives Linköping W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.9% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.43
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Linköping W home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gamla Upsala W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Linköping W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 25% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Linköping W and 1.43 for Gamla Upsala W, a combined 2.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–08.0%
- 0–17.6%
Recent form
Linköping W
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Umeå W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Jitex W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Norrköping W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Örebro SK W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Husqvarna W · 2-1 (W)
Gamla Upsala W
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Enskede W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Husqvarna W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Alingsås W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Örebro SK W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Hammarby W · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Elitettan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elfsborg W | 23 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 54 |
| 2 | KIF Örebro W | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Göteborg W | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 48 |
| 4 | Linköping W | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 43 |
| 5 | Umeå W | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 41 |
| 6 | Husqvarna W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | Trelleborg W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Jitex W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 | Örebro SK W | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | Enskede W | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | Alingsås W | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Gamla Upsala W | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 17 |
| 13 | Sandviken W | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | -38 | 11 |
| 14 | Häcken II W | 22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | -25 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.