Sweden · Elitettan · Matchweek 1917:00
Linköping WLDLLW

2 – 1

Friday, 18 September 2026

Husqvarna WDWLWL

· Analysis updated 19:51 UTC

Linköping W vs Husqvarna W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Linköping W and 1.68 for Husqvarna W, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Husqvarna W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.68

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Linköping W home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Husqvarna W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Husqvarna W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 35% / 23% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.53 goals for Linköping W and 1.68 for Husqvarna W, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Linköping W win35%
Draw23%
Husqvarna W win42%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 0–16.8%
  • 2–26.6%

Recent form

Linköping W

  • 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Umeå W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Jitex W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Norrköping W · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Örebro SK W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Husqvarna W · 2-1 (W)

Husqvarna W

  • 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gamla Upsala W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Linköping W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Elitettan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elfsborg W2316613454
2KIF Örebro W2317243253
3Göteborg W2315623451
4Linköping W2313461043
5Umeå W2312561741
6Husqvarna W23959-232
7Trelleborg W23959-732
8Jitex W23779-728
9Örebro SK W237511-1326
10Enskede W237412-1025
11Alingsås W235711-1122
12Gamla Upsala W235513-1220
13Sandviken W233515-3714
14Häcken II W232219-288

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.