· Analysis updated 10:10 UTC
Lioli vs Majantja Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Lioli and 1.38 for Majantja, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives Lioli the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.2% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.38
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lioli home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Majantja away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lioli to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 25% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Lioli and 1.38 for Majantja, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–28.0%
- 0–17.8%
Recent form
Lioli
- 2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Matlama · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Manonyane · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Majantja · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Lijabatho · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-15T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Machokha · 5-0 (W)
Majantja
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mzamane · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Machokha · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Lioli · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs LMPS · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Linare · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.