Slovakia · 2. liga · Matchweek 716:00

3 – 3

Friday, 4 September 2026

Mestsky futbalovy stadion Milana Janeka · Analysis updated 13:02 UTC

Liptovský Mikuláš vs Inter Bratislava Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Liptovský Mikuláš and 1.38 for Inter Bratislava, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Liptovský Mikuláš the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Liptovský Mikuláš home form

    5 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Inter Bratislava away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Liptovský Mikuláš to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 26% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.38 goals for Liptovský Mikuláš and 1.38 for Inter Bratislava, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Liptovský Mikuláš win37%
Draw26%
Inter Bratislava win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.3%

Recent form

Liptovský Mikuláš

  • 2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava II · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Šamorín · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Malženice · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-23T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Levoča · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Zlaté Moravce · 0-0 (D)

Inter Bratislava

  • 2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Malženice · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zlaté Moravce · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-29T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Podbrezová · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pohronie · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Humenné · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Petržalka139311430
2Šamorín139221029
3Pohronie13724523
4Považská Bystrica13724323
5Galanta13715022
6Žilina II13634321
7Inter Bratislava135531220
8Liptovský Mikuláš13544419
9Tatran Prešov13544-119
10Slovan Bratislava II13445216
11Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom13445-216
12Zlaté Moravce13346-213
13Malženice13337-512
14Humenné13328-1111
15MFK Bytča133010-199
16Lokomotíva Zvolen13139-136

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.