Liria Prizren vs Ramiz Sadiku Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Liria Prizren and 1.28 for Ramiz Sadiku, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives Liria Prizren the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Liria Prizren win

47.4% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Liria Prizren home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ramiz Sadiku away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Liria Prizren to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 24% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.70 goals for Liria Prizren and 1.28 for Ramiz Sadiku, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Liria Prizren win47%

Draw24%

Ramiz Sadiku win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–111.1%
2–19.4%
1–08.7%
2–07.4%
1–27.1%

Recent form

Liria Prizren

2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs KF Lepenci · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-21T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kika · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Trepça Mitrovicë · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Ferizaj · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ramiz Sadiku · 1-0 (W)

Ramiz Sadiku

2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vëllaznimi · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-21T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Istogu · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vjosa · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Trepça'89 · 1-3 (L)
2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Ferizaj · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · Liria Prizren 1-0 Ramiz Sadiku (Liga E Pare)
2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · Liria Prizren 2-1 Ramiz Sadiku (Liga E Pare)
2025-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · Liria Prizren 1-0 Ramiz Sadiku (Liga E Pare)

Liga E Pare table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Liria Prizren	11	8	2	1	14	26
2	Prishtina e Re	12	8	1	3	9	25
3	Trepça'89	12	6	5	1	8	23
4	Rilindja 1974	12	6	3	3	5	21
5	Ferizaj	12	5	5	2	10	20
6	Dinamo Ferizaj	12	5	5	2	8	20
7	Suhareka	12	5	4	3	7	19
8	2 Korriku	12	5	3	4	2	18
9	Vëllaznimi	12	5	2	5	-4	17
10	Istogu	11	5	1	5	-4	16
11	Vjosa	12	3	6	3	4	15
12	FC Besa Peja	12	3	3	6	-4	12
13	Trepça Mitrovicë	12	3	2	7	-12	11
14	Kika	12	1	7	4	-9	10
15	Ramiz Sadiku	12	1	6	5	-6	9
16	KF Lepenci	12	1	6	5	-10	9
17	Tefik Canga	12	1	4	7	-8	7
18	Mitrovica	10	0	5	5	-10	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Liria Prizren win, at 47.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.