· Analysis updated 06:28 UTC
Lisne vs Skala 1911 Stryi Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Lisne and 0.64 for Skala 1911 Stryi, a combined total of 1.94. That distribution gives Lisne the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 31% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Lisne win
52.4% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 0.64
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lisne home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Skala 1911 Stryi away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lisne to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 29% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Lisne and 0.64 for Skala 1911 Stryi, a combined 1.94 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.6%
- 0–014.4%
- 2–012.1%
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.2%
Recent form
Lisne
- 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Skala 1911 Stryi · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Vinnytsya · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyva Ternopil II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Polissya II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kulykiv · 0-0 (D)
Skala 1911 Stryi
- 2026-09-26T09:45:00.000Z · A vs Bratslav Vinnytsia · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-21T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Vilkhivtsi · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ruh Lviv · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil II · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Druha Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 25 |
| 1 | Karbon Cherkasy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Lozova | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Poltava 2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| 4 | Vilkhivtsi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 4 | Trostianets | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 5 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 6 | Atlet | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Rebel | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 8 | Oleksandria II | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ruh Lviv | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | Penuel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lisne win, at 52.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 31%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.