· Analysis updated 14:33 UTC
Litex vs Juventus Malchika Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.53 expected goals for Litex and 1.25 for Juventus Malchika, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives Litex the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Litex win
65.0% probability
Expected goals
2.53 – 1.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Litex home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Juventus Malchika away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Litex to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 18% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.53 goals for Litex and 1.25 for Juventus Malchika, a combined 3.78 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.1%
- 3–17.7%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–17.2%
- 3–06.2%
Recent form
Litex
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Juventus Malchika · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Etar VT II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Yantra Polski Trambesh · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Partizan · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Akademik Svishtov · 0-3 (L)
Juventus Malchika
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Partizan · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Litex · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Partizan · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Akademik Svishtov · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bdin · 2-8 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · Litex 0-3 Juventus Malchika (Third League - Northwest)
- 2025-11-01T12:30:00.000Z · Litex 3-0 Juventus Malchika (Third League - Northwest)
Third League - Northwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akademik Svishtov | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Mezdra | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Yantra Polski Trambesh | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Partizan | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kom Berkovitsa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Sevlievo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Bdin | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Chavdar Troyan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Etar VT II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | OFK Levski | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Spartak Pleven II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 | Pavlikeni | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 | Juventus Malchika | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -16 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Litex win, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.