· Analysis updated 12:15 UTC
Littlehampton Town vs Raynes Park Vale Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Littlehampton Town and 1.26 for Raynes Park Vale, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives Littlehampton Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Littlehampton Town win
46.0% probability
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Littlehampton Town home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Raynes Park Vale away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Littlehampton Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 24% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for Littlehampton Town and 1.26 for Raynes Park Vale, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–27.2%
Recent form
Littlehampton Town
- 2026-08-28T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Raynes Park Vale · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Horndean · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hayes & Yeading United · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hartley Wintney · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Moneyfields · 0-4 (L)
Raynes Park Vale
- 2026-08-28T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Littlehampton Town · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hanworth Villa · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ascot United · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bognor Regis Town · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kingstonian · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Littlehampton Town win, at 46.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.