· Analysis updated 11:10 UTC
Liversedge vs Bootle Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Liversedge and 1.79 for Bootle, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Bootle the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bootle win
53.4% probability
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.79
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Liversedge home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bootle away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bootle to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 23% / 23% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for Liversedge and 1.79 for Bootle, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–28.8%
- 1–06.1%
Recent form
Liversedge
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bootle · 0-5 (L)
- 2025-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wythenshawe Amateurs · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-04-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cleethorpes Town · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-04-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ossett United · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Heaton Stannington · 1-2 (L)
Bootle
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Emley · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Silsden · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Liversedge · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Marine · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Colwyn Bay · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · Liversedge 0-5 Bootle (FA Trophy)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bootle win, at 53.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.