Ukraine · U19 League · Matchweek 214:00

1 – 1

Wednesday, 12 August 2026

· Analysis updated 06:08 UTC

Livyi Bereh U19 vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Livyi Bereh U19 and 1.55 for Dynamo Kyiv U19, a combined total of 2.99. That distribution gives Dynamo Kyiv U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dynamo Kyiv U19 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dynamo Kyiv U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 36% / 24% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.44 goals for Livyi Bereh U19 and 1.55 for Dynamo Kyiv U19, a combined 2.99 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Livyi Bereh U19 win36%
Draw24%
Dynamo Kyiv U19 win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 1–07.2%

Recent form

Livyi Bereh U19

    Dynamo Kyiv U19

    • 2026-09-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalist 1925 U19 · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Lviv U19 · 4-1 (W)
    • 2026-09-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Zhytomyr U19 · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 · 4-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19 · 2-1 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    U19 League table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

    A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.