Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.27 expected goals for Ljungskile SK and 1.42 for Landskrona BoIS, a combined total of 2.69. That distribution gives Landskrona BoIS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.42

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Ljungskile SK home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Landskrona BoIS away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Landskrona BoIS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 34% / 26% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.27 goals for Ljungskile SK and 1.42 for Landskrona BoIS, a combined 2.69 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Ljungskile SK win34%

Draw26%

Landskrona BoIS win41%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–112.2%
0–19.6%
1–28.7%
1–08.6%
2–17.8%

Recent form

Ljungskile SK

2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs IK brage · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Orebro SK · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs GIF Sundsvall · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Falkenbergs FF · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Norrby IF · 2-1 (W)

Landskrona BoIS

2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs United Nordic · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs GIF Sundsvall · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Helsingborg · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Norrby IF · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostersunds FK · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Superettan table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	27	18	5	4	36	59
2	Falkenbergs FF	27	15	6	6	15	51
3	Ostersunds FK	28	12	12	4	12	48
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	27	13	7	7	11	46
5	Landskrona BoIS	27	12	7	8	13	43
6	Oddevold	28	11	9	8	11	42
7	Osters IF	28	13	3	12	1	42
8	United Nordic	28	10	9	9	-6	39
9	Sandviken	28	10	8	10	6	38
10	Ljungskile SK	27	8	8	11	-1	32
11	IFK Varnamo	28	9	5	14	-13	32
12	Helsingborg	27	8	7	12	-11	31
13	Norrby IF	27	5	12	10	-6	27
14	IK brage	28	6	8	14	-10	26
15	Orebro SK	27	5	11	11	-12	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	28	6	1	21	-46	19

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.