Ljungskile SK vs Oddevold Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Ljungskile SK and 1.45 for Oddevold, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Ljungskile SK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Ljungskile SK home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Oddevold away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Ljungskile SK win43%

Draw24%

Oddevold win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

1–110.7%
2–18.9%
1–27.7%
1–07.4%
2–26.5%

Recent form

Ljungskile SK

2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs IK brage · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Orebro SK · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs GIF Sundsvall · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Falkenbergs FF · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Norrby IF · 2-1 (W)

Oddevold

2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs United Nordic · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs IFK Varnamo · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs IFK Norrkoping · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandviken · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Falkenbergs FF · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · Ljungskile SK 0-1 Oddevold (Superettan)
2026-06-22T17:00:00.000Z · Ljungskile SK 0-0 Oddevold (Superettan)
2024-03-04T17:00:00.000Z · Ljungskile SK 0-3 Oddevold (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · Ljungskile SK 0-1 Oddevold (Ettan - Södra)
2023-06-04T14:00:00.000Z · Ljungskile SK 1-1 Oddevold (Ettan - Södra)
2022-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · Ljungskile SK 1-2 Oddevold (Ettan - Södra)
2022-05-16T17:00:00.000Z · Ljungskile SK 0-0 Oddevold (Ettan - Södra)
2019-10-19T13:00:00.000Z · Ljungskile SK 2-1 Oddevold (Ettan - Södra)
2019-07-01T17:00:00.000Z · Ljungskile SK 1-0 Oddevold (Ettan - Södra)
2018-10-20T13:00:00.000Z · Ljungskile SK 0-1 Oddevold (Ettan - Södra)

Superettan table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	26	18	4	4	36	58
2	Falkenbergs FF	27	15	6	6	15	51
3	Varbergs BoIS FC	26	13	6	7	11	45
4	Ostersunds FK	27	11	12	4	9	45
5	Landskrona BoIS	27	12	7	8	13	43
6	Oddevold	27	10	9	8	4	39
7	Osters IF	27	12	3	12	0	39
8	United Nordic	27	10	9	8	-3	39
9	Sandviken	27	9	8	10	5	35
10	Ljungskile SK	27	8	8	11	-1	32
11	Helsingborg	26	8	6	12	-11	30
12	IFK Varnamo	26	8	5	13	-13	29
13	Norrby IF	27	5	12	10	-6	27
14	IK brage	27	6	8	13	-9	26
15	Orebro SK	26	5	10	11	-12	25
16	GIF Sundsvall	26	6	1	19	-38	19

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.