Ljutomer vs Limbuš Pekre Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.92 expected goals for Ljutomer and 0.97 for Limbuš Pekre, a combined total of 2.89. That distribution gives Ljutomer the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Ljutomer win

59.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.92 – 0.97

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Ljutomer home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ljutomer to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 22% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.92 goals for Ljutomer and 0.97 for Limbuš Pekre, a combined 2.89 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Ljutomer win59%

Draw22%

Limbuš Pekre win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–010.7%
1–110.4%
2–010.2%
2–19.9%
3–06.5%

Recent form

Ljutomer

2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Šampion Celje · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Odranci · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Dobrovce · 3-0 (W)
2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Videm · 6-4 (W)
2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dobrovce · 3-3 (D)

Limbuš Pekre

2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Rače · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Šmartno · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Korotan Prevalje · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NK Ormoz · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Hajdina · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. SNL - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Odranci	9	7	2	0	16	23
2	Fužinar	9	6	1	2	11	19
3	Šmartno	9	5	1	3	4	16
4	NK Ormoz	9	5	1	3	4	16
5	Hajdina	10	4	4	2	3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	9	4	3	2	7	15
7	Videm	10	4	2	4	-2	14
8	Podvinci	10	4	2	4	-4	14
9	Korotan Prevalje	9	2	5	2	1	11
10	Rače	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Dobrovce	9	3	0	6	-11	9
12	Ljutomer	10	2	2	6	-4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	9	1	2	6	-15	5
14	Šampion Celje	9	1	1	7	-10	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Ljutomer win, at 59.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.