Llandudno vs Rhyl Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.33 expected goals for Llandudno and 1.58 for Rhyl, a combined total of 4.90. That distribution gives Llandudno the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Llandudno win

71.1% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.33 – 1.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Llandudno home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rhyl away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Llandudno win71%

Draw14%

Rhyl win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%

Over 2.5 goals86%

Over 3.5 goals71%

Both teams to score76%

Correct score

3–17.2%
2–16.5%
4–16.0%
3–25.7%
2–25.1%

Recent form

Llandudno

2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Cardiff MET · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Cambrian & Clydach · 3-4 (L)
2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs The New Saints · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-15T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Caernarfon Town · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-11T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Barry Town · 1-4 (L)

Rhyl

2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Newtown AFC · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-09T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Ruthin Town · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Brickfield Rangers · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Gresford Athletic · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Buckley Town · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-07-14T18:45:00.000Z · Llandudno 2-0 Rhyl (Friendlies Clubs)
2026-01-01T14:00:00.000Z · Llandudno 1-3 Rhyl (FAW Championship)
2025-08-22T18:45:00.000Z · Llandudno 2-0 Rhyl (FAW Championship)
2019-12-21T14:00:00.000Z · Llandudno 1-0 Rhyl (FAW Championship)
2019-08-27T18:30:00.000Z · Llandudno 2-0 Rhyl (FAW Championship)
2017-04-22T16:15:00.000Z · Llandudno 1-1 Rhyl (Premier League)
2017-03-10T20:00:00.000Z · Llandudno 1-1 Rhyl (Premier League)
2017-01-14T17:15:00.000Z · Llandudno 2-2 Rhyl (Premier League)
2016-08-14T14:00:00.000Z · Llandudno 0-0 Rhyl (Premier League)
2015-10-06T18:30:00.000Z · Llandudno 1-1 Rhyl (Premier League)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Llandudno win, at 71.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.