Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán · Analysis updated 13:35 UTC
Llanera vs Real Titánico Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Llanera and 0.38 for Real Titánico, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Llanera the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Llanera win
79.7% probability
Expected goals
2.20 – 0.38
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Llanera home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Real Titánico away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
95%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
20%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–018.4%
- 1–016.8%
- 3–013.5%
- 0–07.6%
- 4–07.4%
Recent form
Llanera
- 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Arosa · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Marino de Luanco · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Basconia · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Racing Santander II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gernika · 0-4 (L)
Real Titánico
- 2026-05-09T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Covadonga · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Avilés Stadium · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Llanera · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Tuilla · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-04-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Llanes · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-25T17:00:00.000Z · Llanera 3-0 Real Titánico (Tercera División RFEF - Group 2)
- 2025-12-21T11:00:00.000Z · Llanera 2-1 Real Titánico (Tercera División RFEF - Group 2)
- 2024-08-17T15:00:00.000Z · Llanera 0-0 Real Titánico (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2024-03-09T16:00:00.000Z · Llanera 5-0 Real Titánico (Tercera División RFEF - Group 2)
- 2023-10-22T15:30:00.000Z · Llanera 2-4 Real Titánico (Tercera División RFEF - Group 2)
- 2023-02-19T16:00:00.000Z · Llanera 2-0 Real Titánico (Tercera División RFEF - Group 2)
- 2022-10-16T10:00:00.000Z · Llanera 0-1 Real Titánico (Tercera División RFEF - Group 2)
- 2021-08-07T00:00:00.000Z · Llanera 2-1 Real Titánico (Friendlies Clubs)
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Gijón II | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 |
| 3 | Condal | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Mosconia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Siero | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Caudal | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Praviano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Gijón Industrial | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Lealtad | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 | Colunga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Langreo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | San Martín | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Avilés Stadium | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | L'Entregu | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Ceares | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Astur | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Llanes | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Andes | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Llanera win, at 79.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 28% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.