· Analysis updated 19:23 UTC
LMPS vs Members Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.84 expected goals for LMPS and 0.84 for Members, a combined total of 1.68. That distribution gives Members the largest share of the 1X2 market at 33%, with the draw at 34%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 24% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 33% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.1% probability
Expected goals
0.84 – 0.84
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
LMPS home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 34%, against 33% / 34% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.84 goals for LMPS and 0.84 for Members, a combined 1.68 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 24% and both teams to score at 32%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
66%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–018.7%
- 0–115.7%
- 1–015.7%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–26.6%
Recent form
LMPS
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs LDF · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs LCS · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Villa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Majantja · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bantu · 0-1 (L)
Members
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 32% and over 2.5 goals at 24%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.