· Analysis updated 15:09 UTC
LNZ Cherkasy U19 vs Lviv U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for LNZ Cherkasy U19 and 0.92 for Lviv U19, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives LNZ Cherkasy U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
LNZ Cherkasy U19 win
58.9% probability
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.92
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
LNZ Cherkasy U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lviv U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates LNZ Cherkasy U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 23% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.83 goals for LNZ Cherkasy U19 and 0.92 for Lviv U19, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.7%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.5%
Recent form
LNZ Cherkasy U19
- 2026-09-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolos Kovalivka U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalist 1925 U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Zhytomyr U19 · 2-0 (W)
Lviv U19
- 2026-09-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Oleksandria U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Rukh Vynnyky U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Zhytomyr U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Obolon' Kyiv U19 · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
U19 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rukh Vynnyky U19 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Karpaty Lviv U19 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Livyi Bereh U19 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | LNZ Cherkasy U19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Zhytomyr U19 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Shakhtar Donetsk U19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Oleksandria U19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Veres Rivne U19 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Obolon' Kyiv U19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | SK Metalurh U19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Metalist 1925 U19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lviv U19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Kolos Kovalivka U19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is LNZ Cherkasy U19 win, at 58.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.