· Analysis updated 04:56 UTC
Lokeren-Temse vs Oudenaarde Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Lokeren-Temse and 1.53 for Oudenaarde, a combined total of 3.62. That distribution gives Lokeren-Temse the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Lokeren-Temse win
50.7% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lokeren-Temse home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lokeren-Temse to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 21% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Lokeren-Temse and 1.53 for Oudenaarde, a combined 3.62 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 69%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.0%
- 1–18.6%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–26.5%
- 3–16.2%
Recent form
Lokeren-Temse
- 2026-10-24T18:00:00.000Z · H vs KAA Gent II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge KV · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Houtvenne · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Excelsior Virton · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs RSC Anderlecht II · 6-2 (W)
Oudenaarde
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Voorde Appelterre · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Zulte Waregem II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Mechelen II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oostkamp · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ninove · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lokeren-Temse win, at 50.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.