Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · ČFL A - 3415:00

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Wednesday, 20 May 2026

Stadion U Pruhonu · Analysis updated 17:37 UTC

Loko Vltavín vs Táborsko II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Loko Vltavín and 1.72 for Táborsko II, a combined total of 3.39. That distribution gives Táborsko II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.72

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Loko Vltavín home form

    2 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Táborsko II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Táborsko II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 38% / 23% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.67 goals for Loko Vltavín and 1.72 for Táborsko II, a combined 3.39 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Loko Vltavín win38%
Draw23%
Táborsko II win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.7%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 0–15.8%

Recent form

Loko Vltavín

  • 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Králův Dvůr · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha II · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Benešov · 2-2 (D)

Táborsko II

  • 2026-10-17T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Milevsko · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Soběslav · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1České Budějovice128222126
2Králův Dvůr118211326
3Viktoria Plzeň II117221123
4Motorlet Praha12723923
5Jiskra Domažlice12633221
6Loko Vltavín12534-218
7Sparta Praha II94411116
8Slavia III12426114
9Admira Praha12426-414
10Příbram II11344-113
11Bohemians 1905 II12345-513
12Dukla Praha II12255-311
13Písek11254-711
14Benešov11245-810
15Aritma Praha12165-179
16Povltava FA120210-212

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.