Lokomotiv Moskva U19 vs Dynamo Makhachkala U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.11 expected goals for Lokomotiv Moskva U19 and 1.25 for Dynamo Makhachkala U19, a combined total of 4.37. That distribution gives Lokomotiv Moskva U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Lokomotiv Moskva U19 win

74.1% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.11 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Dynamo Makhachkala U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lokomotiv Moskva U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 74%, against 74% / 14% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.11 goals for Lokomotiv Moskva U19 and 1.25 for Dynamo Makhachkala U19, a combined 4.37 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 68%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Lokomotiv Moskva U19 win74%

Draw14%

Dynamo Makhachkala U19 win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

26%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals81%

Over 3.5 goals63%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

3–18.0%
2–17.7%
3–06.4%
4–16.2%
2–06.1%

Recent form

Lokomotiv Moskva U19

Dynamo Makhachkala U19

2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Moskva U19 · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Akademiya Konoplev U20 · 2-3 (L)
2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Rubin Kazan U20 · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-18T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Ural U20 · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zenit U19 · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-07-03T14:00:00.000Z · Lokomotiv Moskva U19 3-1 Dynamo Makhachkala U19 (Youth Championship)

Youth Championship table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Moskva U19	27	21	2	4	53	65
2	Zenit U19	27	19	3	5	45	60
3	Krasnodar U19	27	18	3	6	38	57
4	Rodina Moscow U19	27	17	3	7	32	54
5	Lokomotiv Moskva U19	27	15	5	7	20	50
6	Akademiya Konoplev U20	27	14	5	8	12	47
7	Almaz Antey U19	27	13	5	9	-5	44
8	Spartak Moskva U19	27	7	11	9	-6	32
9	Rostov U19	27	9	5	13	-9	32
10	Dinamo Moskva U19	27	9	4	14	-8	31
11	Dynamo Makhachkala U19	27	8	4	15	-24	28
12	Chertanovo U20	27	7	5	15	-25	26
13	Ural U20	27	7	4	16	-26	25
14	Nizhny Novgorod U19	27	6	4	17	-40	22
15	Rubin Kazan U20	27	6	3	18	-30	21
16	Fakel U19	27	5	4	18	-27	19

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Lokomotiv Moskva U19 win, at 74.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.

A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.