Marienlyst kunstgress · Analysis updated 13:39 UTC
Lokomotiv Oslo vs Grorud Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Lokomotiv Oslo and 1.91 for Grorud, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Grorud the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
66.8% probability
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lokomotiv Oslo home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Grorud away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Grorud to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 33% / 22% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for Lokomotiv Oslo and 1.91 for Grorud, a combined 3.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.1%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.4%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–15.6%
Recent form
Lokomotiv Oslo
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Carl Berner · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Gamle Oslo · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Nordstrand · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bærum · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs KFUM II · 3-0 (W)
Grorud
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lørenskog · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Levanger · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Moss · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kjelsås · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tromsdalen Uil · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · Lokomotiv Oslo 1-5 Grorud (NM Cupen)
- 2025-02-16T13:00:00.000Z · Lokomotiv Oslo 2-0 Grorud (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.