· Analysis updated 08:30 UTC
Lokomotiv Oslo vs Konnerud Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for Lokomotiv Oslo and 1.58 for Konnerud, a combined total of 3.93. That distribution gives Lokomotiv Oslo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Lokomotiv Oslo win
55.0% probability
Expected goals
2.35 – 1.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lokomotiv Oslo home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Konnerud away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lokomotiv Oslo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 20% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.35 goals for Lokomotiv Oslo and 1.58 for Konnerud, a combined 3.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.6%
- 1–17.3%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–16.7%
- 1–25.8%
Recent form
Lokomotiv Oslo
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Heming · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs IF Ready · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Konnerud · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Carl Berner · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Gamle Oslo · 4-1 (W)
Konnerud
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Oslo · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Heming · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KFUM II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Frigg · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SF Grei · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 24 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 49 | 64 |
| 2 | Heming | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 47 |
| 3 | Gamle Oslo | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 44 |
| 4 | Vålerenga II | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 40 |
| 5 | IF Ready | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 |
| 6 | Bærum | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 38 |
| 7 | Union Carl Berner | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 38 |
| 8 | Frigg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | -22 | 29 |
| 10 | KFUM II | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 | SF Grei | 24 | 8 | 1 | 15 | -29 | 25 |
| 12 | Ullern | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | -19 | 23 |
| 13 | Nordstrand | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | -18 | 20 |
| 14 | Konnerud | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | -27 | 17 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lokomotiv Oslo win, at 55.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.