Lokomotíva Košice vs Lipany Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Lokomotíva Košice and 0.82 for Lipany, a combined total of 2.47. That distribution gives Lokomotíva Košice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Lokomotíva Košice win

57.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.65 – 0.82

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Lokomotíva Košice home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lipany away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lokomotíva Košice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 24% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for Lokomotíva Košice and 0.82 for Lipany, a combined 2.47 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Lokomotíva Košice win57%

Draw24%

Lipany win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals45%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams to score45%

Correct score

1–014.0%
2–011.5%
1–111.4%
2–19.4%
0–08.5%

Recent form

Lokomotíva Košice

2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Slávia TU Košice · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-14T12:30:00.000Z · H vs AS Trencin · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Sabinov · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vranov nad Topľou · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Partizán Bardejov · 2-1 (W)

Lipany

2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs MSK Tesla Stropkov · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Spišská Nová Ves · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stará Ľubovňa · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Slávia TU Košice · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Sabinov · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lokomotíva Košice	11	7	3	1	14	24
2	Spartak Medzev	12	7	2	3	8	23
3	Raslavice	12	7	2	3	4	23
4	Stará Ľubovňa	11	6	3	2	11	21
5	Partizán Bardejov	12	6	2	4	2	20
6	Spišská Nová Ves	12	6	1	5	3	19
7	Lipany	12	5	3	4	8	18
8	Poprad	12	5	2	5	3	17
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	11	4	2	5	2	14
10	Snina	11	3	5	3	-2	14
11	Slávia TU Košice	11	4	1	6	0	13
12	Vranov nad Topľou	11	4	1	6	-13	13
13	Slovan Sabinov	12	1	4	7	-14	7
14	Kežmarok	12	0	1	11	-26	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Lokomotíva Košice win, at 57.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.