Slovakia · 3. liga - East · East - 414:30

3 – 0

Saturday, 29 August 2026

RaslaviceDWLWL

· Analysis updated 15:44 UTC

Lokomotíva Košice vs Raslavice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Lokomotíva Košice and 0.67 for Raslavice, a combined total of 2.36. That distribution gives Lokomotíva Košice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Lokomotíva Košice win

61.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.68 – 0.67

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Lokomotíva Košice home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Raslavice away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Lokomotíva Košice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 24% / 15% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.68 goals for Lokomotíva Košice and 0.67 for Raslavice, a combined 2.36 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Lokomotíva Košice win62%
Draw24%
Raslavice win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 1–015.9%
  • 2–013.4%
  • 1–110.7%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 2–19.0%

Recent form

Lokomotíva Košice

  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Sabinov · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vranov nad Topľou · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Partizán Bardejov · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Kežmarok · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Snina · 0-0 (D)

Raslavice

  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spišská Nová Ves · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Stará Ľubovňa · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slávia TU Košice · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Sabinov · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-07T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Vranov nad Topľou · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - East table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotíva Košice106311321
2Spartak Medzev10613619
3Raslavice10613119
4Stará Ľubovňa10532918
5Lipany105231117
6Poprad10514416
7Partizán Bardejov10514116
8Spišská Nová Ves10514116
9MSK Tesla Stropkov10424414
10Slávia TU Košice10415113
11Snina10253-311
12Vranov nad Topľou10316-1510
13Slovan Sabinov10136-126
14Kežmarok10019-211

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Lokomotíva Košice win, at 61.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.