Slovakia · 3. liga - East · East - 614:00

0 – 0

Friday, 11 September 2026

SninaDDDDW

· Analysis updated 06:03 UTC

Lokomotíva Košice vs Snina Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Lokomotíva Košice and 0.51 for Snina, a combined total of 2.04. That distribution gives Lokomotíva Košice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Lokomotíva Košice win

62.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.53 – 0.51

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Lokomotíva Košice home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Snina away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Lokomotíva Košice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 25% / 12% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.53 goals for Lokomotíva Košice and 0.51 for Snina, a combined 2.04 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Lokomotíva Košice win63%
Draw25%
Snina win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals60%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams to score31%

Correct score

  • 1–019.9%
  • 2–015.2%
  • 0–013.0%
  • 1–110.1%
  • 3–07.8%

Recent form

Lokomotíva Košice

  • 2026-10-25T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Stará Ľubovňa · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Slávia TU Košice · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-14T12:30:00.000Z · H vs AS Trencin · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Sabinov · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vranov nad Topľou · 3-0 (W)

Snina

  • 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Spišská Nová Ves · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stará Ľubovňa · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Slávia TU Košice · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Sabinov · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vranov nad Topľou · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - East table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotíva Košice117311424
2Spartak Medzev12723823
3Raslavice12723423
4Stará Ľubovňa116321121
5Partizán Bardejov12624220
6Spišská Nová Ves12615319
7Lipany12534818
8Poprad12525317
9MSK Tesla Stropkov11425214
10Snina11353-214
11Slávia TU Košice11416013
12Vranov nad Topľou11416-1313
13Slovan Sabinov12147-147
14Kežmarok120111-261

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Lokomotíva Košice win, at 62.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 31% and over 2.5 goals at 33%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.