Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Pohronie Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Lokomotíva Zvolen and 1.33 for Pohronie, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Pohronie the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

65.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Lokomotíva Zvolen home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Pohronie away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Lokomotíva Zvolen win35%

Draw27%

Pohronie win39%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals26%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–112.6%
0–110.1%
1–09.5%
1–28.4%
2–17.9%

Recent form

Lokomotíva Zvolen

2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava II · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Šamorín · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Malženice · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlaté Moravce · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Pohronie · 1-2 (L)

Pohronie

2026-10-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Malženice · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlaté Moravce · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Humenné · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-25T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Inter Bratislava · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · Lokomotíva Zvolen 1-2 Pohronie (2. liga)
2026-02-14T09:00:00.000Z · Lokomotíva Zvolen 2-3 Pohronie (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-11-14T16:00:00.000Z · Lokomotíva Zvolen 2-2 Pohronie (2. liga)
2025-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · Lokomotíva Zvolen 1-0 Pohronie (2. liga)
2025-04-04T14:30:00.000Z · Lokomotíva Zvolen 3-0 Pohronie (2. liga)
2024-09-14T14:00:00.000Z · Lokomotíva Zvolen 3-3 Pohronie (2. liga)
2018-04-11T16:00:00.000Z · Lokomotíva Zvolen 0-3 Pohronie (2. liga)
2017-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · Lokomotíva Zvolen 1-0 Pohronie (2. liga)

2. liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Šamorín	14	10	2	2	11	32
2	Petržalka	14	9	3	2	13	30
3	Považská Bystrica	14	8	2	4	4	26
4	Žilina II	14	7	3	4	4	24
5	Pohronie	14	7	2	5	4	23
6	Galanta	14	7	2	5	0	23
7	Tatran Prešov	14	6	4	4	2	22
8	Inter Bratislava	14	5	6	3	12	21
9	Liptovský Mikuláš	14	5	4	5	3	19
10	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	14	5	4	5	-1	19
11	Slovan Bratislava II	14	4	5	5	2	17
12	Malženice	14	4	3	7	-2	15
13	Zlaté Moravce	14	3	4	7	-5	13
14	Humenné	14	3	3	8	-11	12
15	MFK Bytča	14	3	0	11	-22	9
16	Lokomotíva Zvolen	14	1	3	10	-14	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.