· Analysis updated 16:33 UTC
Lorentzweiler vs Rodange 91 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Lorentzweiler and 1.45 for Rodange 91, a combined total of 3.49. That distribution gives Lorentzweiler the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Lorentzweiler win
51.4% probability
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lorentzweiler home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Rodange 91 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lorentzweiler to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 21% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.04 goals for Lorentzweiler and 1.45 for Rodange 91, a combined 3.49 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.2%
- 1–19.0%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–26.5%
- 2–06.4%
Recent form
Lorentzweiler
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Erpeldange · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-07-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Résidence Walferdange · 3-5 (L)
- 2025-11-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rodange 91 · 2-4 (L)
- 2025-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tricolore Gasperich · 1-0 (W)
- 2024-10-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Victoria Rosport · 0-2 (L)
Rodange 91
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jeunesse Schieren · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Mamer · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Mamer · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Differdange 03 · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lorentzweiler win, at 51.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.