· Analysis updated 14:32 UTC
LPS HD Clinceni vs Omega Sport Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for LPS HD Clinceni and 1.40 for Omega Sport, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives LPS HD Clinceni the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
LPS HD Clinceni win
47.0% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
LPS HD Clinceni home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Omega Sport away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates LPS HD Clinceni to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 23% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for LPS HD Clinceni and 1.40 for Omega Sport, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.3%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–06.6%
Recent form
LPS HD Clinceni
- 2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Alexandria · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Oxigen Bucuresti · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Bucureşti II · 5-1 (W)
Omega Sport
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Bucureşti II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Voluntari II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FCSB II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 5 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | LPS HD Clinceni | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Alexandria | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | Dinamo Bucureşti II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 8 | Cetatea | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | FCSB II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Voluntari II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Progresul Spartac | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is LPS HD Clinceni win, at 47.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.