LKS-Hallen · Analysis updated 01:37 UTC
LSK Kvinner W vs Brann W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.53 expected goals for LSK Kvinner W and 2.84 for Brann W, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Brann W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Brann W win
84.4% probability
Expected goals
0.53 – 2.84
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
LSK Kvinner W home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Brann W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brann W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 5% / 11% / 84% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.53 goals for LSK Kvinner W and 2.84 for Brann W, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
16%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
95%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–213.8%
- 0–313.1%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–49.3%
- 1–27.4%
Recent form
LSK Kvinner W
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Ålesund W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Vålerenga W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Røa W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Haugesund W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyn W · 2-3 (L)
Brann W
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vålerenga W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosenborg W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Ålesund W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs HJK W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stabæk W · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Toppserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brann W | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 49 | 51 |
| 2 | Fortuna Ålesund W | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 50 |
| 3 | Rosenborg W | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 42 |
| 4 | Vålerenga W | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | Lyn W | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 32 |
| 6 | Stabæk W | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 |
| 7 | Haugesund W | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | -16 | 24 |
| 8 | Hønefoss W | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -15 | 19 |
| 9 | Molde W | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 | Røa W | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -19 | 17 |
| 11 | LSK Kvinner W | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -17 | 15 |
| 12 | Bodø / Glimt W | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | -61 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Brann W win, at 84.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.