· Analysis updated 15:49 UTC
Lübeck U19 vs Hertha BSC U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Lübeck U19 and 3.03 for Hertha BSC U19, a combined total of 4.78. That distribution gives Hertha BSC U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hertha BSC U19 win
63.4% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 3.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lübeck U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hertha BSC U19 away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hertha BSC U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 20% / 16% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Lübeck U19 and 3.03 for Hertha BSC U19, a combined 4.78 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
37%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–36.8%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–36.0%
- 2–25.9%
- 1–45.2%
Recent form
Lübeck U19
- 2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Babelsberg U19 · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Blumenthaler SV U19 · 2-3 (L)
Hertha BSC U19
- 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SG Unterrath U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-26T09:00:00.000Z · Lübeck U19 2-1 Hertha BSC U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2026-02-22T10:00:00.000Z · Lübeck U19 2-8 Hertha BSC U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hertha BSC U19 win, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.