· Analysis updated 13:34 UTC
Lüneburger SK Hansa vs Borussia Hildesheim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.13 expected goals for Lüneburger SK Hansa and 1.65 for Borussia Hildesheim, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives Lüneburger SK Hansa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Lüneburger SK Hansa win
48.9% probability
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lüneburger SK Hansa home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Borussia Hildesheim away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.5%
- 1–18.0%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.6%
- 3–16.1%
Recent form
Lüneburger SK Hansa
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Hildesheim · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Verden 04 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vorsfelde · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bersenbrück · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nordhorn · 1-2 (L)
Borussia Hildesheim
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Schwarz-Weiß Rehden · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs BW Lohne · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hemmingen · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Drochtersen/Assel II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Verden 04 · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · Lüneburger SK Hansa 3-1 Borussia Hildesheim (Oberliga - Niedersachsen)
- 2026-04-30T17:30:00.000Z · Lüneburger SK Hansa 2-0 Borussia Hildesheim (Oberliga - Niedersachsen)
- 2021-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · Lüneburger SK Hansa 1-1 Borussia Hildesheim (Regionalliga - Nord)
- 2021-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · Lüneburger SK Hansa 1-2 Borussia Hildesheim (Regionalliga - Nord)
- 2020-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · Lüneburger SK Hansa 2-2 Borussia Hildesheim (Friendlies Clubs)
Oberliga - Niedersachsen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heeslinger SC | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Eintracht Braunschw. II | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 20 |
| 3 | Wilhelmshaven | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Borussia Hildesheim | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Spelle-Venhaus | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | BW Lohne | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Bersenbrück | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Meppen II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Nordhorn | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 11 |
| 11 | Verden 04 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Germania Egestorf | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 13 | Hemmingen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 7 |
| 14 | Lüneburger SK Hansa | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Vorsfelde | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 5 |
| 16 | Drochtersen/Assel II | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lüneburger SK Hansa win, at 48.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.