· Analysis updated 16:49 UTC
Lustenau vs Lauterach Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Lustenau and 2.08 for Lauterach, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Lauterach the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
62.7% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 2.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lustenau home form
2 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Lauterach away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lauterach to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 37% / 21% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Lustenau and 2.08 for Lauterach, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–35.2%
Recent form
Lustenau
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Imst · 2-7 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lochau · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs SK St. Johann · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wolfurt · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Swarovski Tirol II · 1-3 (L)
Lauterach
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs SVG Reichenau · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Dornbirn · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rheindorf Altach II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kufstein · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hohenems · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - West table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hohenems | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Imst | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | Schwaz | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Dornbirn | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Kitzbühel | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Swarovski Tirol II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | SK St. Johann | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Röthis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Fügen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 | SVG Reichenau | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | Lochau | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kufstein | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Lauterach | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Lustenau | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -19 | 7 |
| 15 | Rheindorf Altach II | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 6 |
| 16 | Wolfurt | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -19 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.