Arena e Demave · Analysis updated 11:11 UTC
Luzi 2008 vs Sopoti Librazhd Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.31 expected goals for Luzi 2008 and 0.80 for Sopoti Librazhd, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives Luzi 2008 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Luzi 2008 win
71.2% probability
Expected goals
2.31 – 0.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Luzi 2008 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sopoti Librazhd away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Luzi 2008 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 17% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.31 goals for Luzi 2008 and 0.80 for Sopoti Librazhd, a combined 3.11 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.9%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–09.1%
- 1–18.2%
Recent form
Luzi 2008
- 2025-10-15T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë · 1-5 (L)
- 2025-04-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kastrioti Krujë · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sopoti Librazhd · 4-0 (W)
- 2025-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Veleçiku Koplik · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-04-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Naftëtari Kuçovë · 1-0 (W)
Sopoti Librazhd
- 2026-10-06T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Besëlidhja Lezhë · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kastrioti Krujë · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Burreli · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Besa Kavajë · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bylis · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2nd Division - Play-offs table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luzi 2008 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Oriku | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Tomori Berat | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Sopoti Librazhd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 6 | Butrinti Sarandë | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Gramshi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Turbina Cërrik | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Devolli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Luftëtari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Tërbuni Pukë | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 12 | Veleçiku Koplik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Luzi 2008 win, at 71.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.