Ukraine · U19 League · Matchweek 212:30
Lviv U19WLLLW

0 – 1

Wednesday, 12 August 2026

· Analysis updated 16:07 UTC

Lviv U19 vs Veres Rivne U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.14 expected goals for Lviv U19 and 1.37 for Veres Rivne U19, a combined total of 2.51. That distribution gives Veres Rivne U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

68.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Lviv U19 home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Veres Rivne U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Veres Rivne U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 31% / 27% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.14 goals for Lviv U19 and 1.37 for Veres Rivne U19, a combined 2.51 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Lviv U19 win31%
Draw27%
Veres Rivne U19 win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–111.1%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 0–08.1%

Recent form

Lviv U19

  • 2026-09-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Oleksandria U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Rukh Vynnyky U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Zhytomyr U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Obolon' Kyiv U19 · 1-0 (W)

Veres Rivne U19

  • 2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Metalurh U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-09T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Livyi Bereh U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Oleksandria U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Rukh Vynnyky U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Obolon' Kyiv U19 · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-12T12:30:00.000Z · Lviv U19 0-1 Veres Rivne U19 (U19 League)

U19 League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.