· Analysis updated 16:33 UTC
Lyn II vs Ørn Horten Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Lyn II and 2.13 for Ørn Horten, a combined total of 3.98. That distribution gives Ørn Horten the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Ørn Horten win
45.0% probability
Expected goals
1.85 – 2.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lyn II home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ørn Horten away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ørn Horten to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 34% / 21% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Lyn II and 2.13 for Ørn Horten, a combined 3.98 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.8%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–16.8%
- 1–35.6%
Recent form
Lyn II
- 2026-10-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Råde · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Raelingen · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sarpsborg 08 II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gjøvik-Lyn · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Drøbak / Frogn · 1-4 (L)
Ørn Horten
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Oppsal · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandefjord II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Sarpsborg 08 II · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bjørkelangen · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-08-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Flint · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 6 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 59 |
| 2 | Elverum | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | Råde | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 46 |
| 4 | Gjøvik-Lyn | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 44 |
| 5 | Drøbak / Frogn | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 41 |
| 6 | Ørn Horten | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Raelingen | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 38 |
| 8 | Lyn II | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Oppsal | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 33 |
| 10 | Sandefjord II | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 33 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 II | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 32 |
| 12 | Fram | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 | Brumunddal | 25 | 3 | 3 | 19 | -83 | 12 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 25 | 1 | 0 | 24 | -89 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ørn Horten win, at 45.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.