Lyngby Stadion · Analysis updated 15:00 UTC
Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Lyngby and 1.60 for FC Nordsjaelland, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives FC Nordsjaelland the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
66.5% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lyngby home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Nordsjaelland away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.0%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.0%
Recent form
Lyngby
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brondby · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hvidovre · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Silkeborg · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sonderjyske · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-09T15:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 2-0 (W)
FC Nordsjaelland
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Malmo FF · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Viborg · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vatanspor · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Midtjylland · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2025-03-16T16:00:00.000Z · Lyngby 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland (Superliga)
- 2024-08-11T12:00:00.000Z · Lyngby 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland (Superliga)
- 2024-02-18T13:00:00.000Z · Lyngby 2-3 FC Nordsjaelland (Superliga)
- 2023-09-03T12:00:00.000Z · Lyngby 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland (Superliga)
- 2023-02-19T13:00:00.000Z · Lyngby 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland (Superliga)
- 2022-08-01T17:00:00.000Z · Lyngby 1-2 FC Nordsjaelland (Superliga)
- 2021-03-12T18:00:00.000Z · Lyngby 0-3 FC Nordsjaelland (Superliga)
- 2020-09-28T17:00:00.000Z · Lyngby 1-4 FC Nordsjaelland (Superliga)
- 2019-11-29T18:00:00.000Z · Lyngby 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland (Superliga)
- 2019-10-04T17:00:00.000Z · Lyngby 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland (Superliga)
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Viborg | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Brondby | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Silkeborg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Odense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Lyngby | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Aarhus | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.