· Analysis updated 05:02 UTC
Lynx vs St Joseph S Fc Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.61 expected goals for Lynx and 3.64 for St Joseph S Fc, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives St Joseph S Fc the largest share of the 1X2 market at 90%, with the draw at 7%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 90% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
St Joseph S Fc win
90.2% probability
Expected goals
0.61 – 3.64
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lynx home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
St Joseph S Fc away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates St Joseph S Fc to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 90%, against 3% / 7% / 90% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.61 goals for Lynx and 3.64 for St Joseph S Fc, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
10%
Double chance 12
93%
Double chance X2
97%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–311.5%
- 0–410.5%
- 0–29.5%
- 0–57.6%
- 1–37.0%
Recent form
Lynx
- 2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Europa · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-12T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Mons Calpe · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs St Joseph S Fc · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Glacis United · 0-1 (L)
St Joseph S Fc
- 2026-10-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Hound Dogs · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Lions Gibraltar · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Lynx · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Europa · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Mons Calpe · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Joseph S Fc | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 18 |
| 2 | Magpies | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 17 |
| 3 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Mons Calpe | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Glacis United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Europa Point | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Europa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Lions Gibraltar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | College 1975 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -12 | 4 |
| 10 | Lynx | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 1 |
| 11 | Hound Dogs | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -25 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is St Joseph S Fc win, at 90.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 90% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.