· Analysis updated 03:04 UTC
Maaslingen vs Lippstadt 08 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Maaslingen and 1.20 for Lippstadt 08, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Maaslingen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Maaslingen win
55.4% probability
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lippstadt 08 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Maaslingen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 22% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.98 goals for Maaslingen and 1.20 for Lippstadt 08, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–08.2%
- 3–16.4%
Recent form
Maaslingen
Lippstadt 08
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vreden · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs ASC Dortmund · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hiltrup · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Verl II · 5-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Westfalen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gievenbeck | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 26 |
| 2 | Vreden | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Maaslingen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Eintracht Rheine | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Arminia II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Lippstadt 08 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | ASC Dortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Erkenschwick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Sprockhovel | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
| 10 | Preußen Münster II | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 11 | Verl II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 12 | Westfalia Kinderhaus | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Hiltrup | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 13 |
| 14 | TuS Hordel | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
| 16 | Ennepetal | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 17 | Victoria Clarholz | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Schermbeck | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Maaslingen win, at 55.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.