Macarthur Rams vs Blacktown Spartans Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Macarthur Rams and 1.55 for Blacktown Spartans, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Blacktown Spartans the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Blacktown Spartans to Win

47.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Macarthur Rams win27%

Draw25%

Blacktown Spartans win48%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–112.0%
0–110.8%
1–29.3%
0–28.4%
1–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Macarthur Rams home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Blacktown Spartans to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 27% / 25% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for Macarthur Rams and 1.55 for Blacktown Spartans, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Macarthur Rams

2026-08-15T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Blacktown Spartans · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-08T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Dulwich Hill · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-01T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Bulls Academy · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-25T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Hurstville FC · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Prospect United · 2-1 (W)

Blacktown Spartans

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

New South Wales NPL 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	28	20	5	3	39	65
2	Northern Tigers	28	15	8	5	21	53
3	Bankstown City Lions	28	15	5	8	9	50
4	Macarthur Rams	28	14	6	8	6	48
5	Canterbury Bankstown	28	13	6	9	14	45
6	Hills Brumbies	28	12	7	9	7	43
7	Hakoah Sydney City	28	10	9	9	11	39
8	Rydalmere Lions	28	10	8	10	-2	38
9	Bulls Academy	28	11	4	13	5	37
10	Hurstville FC	27	9	6	12	-5	33
11	Inter Lions	28	9	5	14	-16	32
12	Dulwich Hill	28	7	9	12	-15	30
13	Newcastle Jets II	28	6	10	12	-11	28
14	Central Coast II	27	7	7	13	-12	28
15	Prospect United	28	3	14	11	-18	23
16	Mt Druitt Town	28	5	5	18	-33	20

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.