· Analysis updated 09:16 UTC
Macau U17 vs Vietnam U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.06 expected goals for Macau U17 and 2.64 for Vietnam U17, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Vietnam U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vietnam U17 win
70.9% probability
Expected goals
1.06 – 2.64
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Macau U17 home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vietnam U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 13% / 16% / 71% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.06 goals for Macau U17 and 2.64 for Vietnam U17, a combined 3.70 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 61%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
29%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
87%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.1%
- 0–28.6%
- 1–38.0%
- 0–37.5%
- 1–16.9%
Recent form
Macau U17
- 2025-11-30T09:00:00.000Z · A vs N. Mariana Islands U17 · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-11-28T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vietnam U17 · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-11-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Malaysia U17 · 0-5 (L)
- 2025-11-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Singapore U17 · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-11-22T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hong Kong U17 · 0-2 (L)
Vietnam U17
- 2026-05-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Australia U17 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs United Arab Emirates U17 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Korea Republic U17 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Yemen U17 · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-11-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Malaysia U17 · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vietnam U17 win, at 70.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.