Magdeburg II vs Hallescher FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.22 expected goals for Magdeburg II and 1.75 for Hallescher FC, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives Hallescher FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Hallescher FC win

49.9% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Magdeburg II home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Hallescher FC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hallescher FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 27% / 24% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.22 goals for Magdeburg II and 1.75 for Hallescher FC, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Magdeburg II win27%

Draw24%

Hallescher FC win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–111.0%
1–29.6%
0–19.0%
0–27.9%
2–16.7%

Recent form

Magdeburg II

2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Luckenwalde · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Altglienicke · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFC Dynamo · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Erzgebirge Aue · 1-2 (L)

Hallescher FC

2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Zwickau · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Babelsberg 03 · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tasmania Berlin · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC II · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Nordost table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chemnitzer FC	13	9	3	1	22	30
2	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	13	8	4	1	23	28
3	Hallescher FC	13	8	4	1	11	28
4	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	13	8	1	4	11	25
5	BFC Dynamo	13	7	4	2	9	25
6	Altglienicke	13	7	3	3	7	24
7	Greifswalder FC	13	6	4	3	6	22
8	Erzgebirge Aue	13	6	3	4	2	21
9	FSV Zwickau	13	5	4	4	-2	19
10	Lokomotive Leipzig	13	4	5	4	0	17
11	Magdeburg II	13	5	1	7	-2	16
12	SV Babelsberg 03	13	3	4	6	-9	13
13	BFC Preussen	13	2	5	6	-5	11
14	BSG Chemie Leipzig	13	2	4	7	-7	10
15	Hertha BSC II	13	2	4	7	-13	10
16	RSV Eintracht	13	2	3	8	-16	9
17	Tasmania Berlin	13	2	2	9	-19	8
18	Luckenwalde	13	2	0	11	-18	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hallescher FC win, at 49.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.