· Analysis updated 18:05 UTC
Magdeburg U19 vs Lübeck U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.98 expected goals for Magdeburg U19 and 1.37 for Lübeck U19, a combined total of 4.35. That distribution gives Magdeburg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Magdeburg U19 win
69.9% probability
Expected goals
2.98 – 1.37
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Magdeburg U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lübeck U19 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Magdeburg U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 15% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.98 goals for Magdeburg U19 and 1.37 for Lübeck U19, a combined 4.35 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.9%
- 3–17.8%
- 4–15.8%
- 2–05.7%
- 3–05.7%
Recent form
Magdeburg U19
- 2026-10-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock U19 · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs BAK 07 U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Holstein Kiel U19 · 2-0 (W)
Lübeck U19
- 2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Babelsberg U19 · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Blumenthaler SV U19 · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Magdeburg U19 win, at 69.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.