· Analysis updated 15:02 UTC
Magdeburg U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Magdeburg U19 and 3.00 for Schalke 04 U19, a combined total of 5.50. That distribution gives Schalke 04 U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 91% for over 2.5 goals and 87% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Schalke 04 U19 win
49.6% probability
Expected goals
2.50 – 3.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Magdeburg U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Schalke 04 U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Schalke 04 U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 33% / 17% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Magdeburg U19 and 3.00 for Schalke 04 U19, a combined 5.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–25.7%
- 2–35.7%
- 3–24.8%
- 3–34.8%
- 1–24.6%
Recent form
Magdeburg U19
- 2026-10-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock U19 · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs BAK 07 U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Holstein Kiel U19 · 2-0 (W)
Schalke 04 U19
- 2026-08-29T11:15:00.000Z · A vs Magdeburg U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Rödinghausen U19 · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Schalke 04 U19 win, at 49.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 87% and over 2.5 goals at 91%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.