· Analysis updated 14:53 UTC
Magpies vs Lynx Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Magpies and 1.50 for Lynx, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Magpies the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.1% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Magpies home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lynx away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.2%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–07.5%
Recent form
Magpies
- 2026-09-18T19:00:00.000Z · A vs College 1975 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-11T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Hound Dogs · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Europa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Lynx · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Lions Gibraltar · 1-1 (D)
Lynx
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs St Joseph S Fc · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Glacis United · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T17:30:00.000Z · H vs College 1975 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Magpies · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Europa Point · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-29T19:00:00.000Z · Magpies 2-0 Lynx (Premier Division)
- 2026-02-06T20:00:00.000Z · Magpies 0-0 Lynx (Premier Division)
- 2025-10-26T15:30:00.000Z · Magpies 1-3 Lynx (Premier Division)
- 2024-12-21T15:30:00.000Z · Magpies 3-0 Lynx (Premier Division)
- 2024-09-21T14:30:00.000Z · Magpies 3-0 Lynx (Premier Division)
- 2024-03-01T20:00:00.000Z · Magpies 2-1 Lynx (Premier Division)
- 2023-11-26T15:30:00.000Z · Magpies 0-1 Lynx (Premier Division)
- 2023-04-08T14:00:00.000Z · Magpies 5-0 Lynx (Premier Division)
- 2023-01-29T15:00:00.000Z · Magpies 1-1 Lynx (Premier Division)
- 2022-11-06T15:00:00.000Z · Magpies 0-1 Lynx (Premier Division)
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magpies | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | St Joseph S Fc | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Mons Calpe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Glacis United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Lions Gibraltar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Europa Point | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Europa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | College 1975 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Hound Dogs | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 |
| 11 | Lynx | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.