Majosi SE Sporttelep · Analysis updated 07:59 UTC
Majosi vs Nyiregyhaza Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for Majosi and 1.83 for Nyiregyhaza, a combined total of 4.06. That distribution gives Majosi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Majosi win
47.5% probability
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Majosi home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nyiregyhaza away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Majosi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 20% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.23 goals for Majosi and 1.83 for Nyiregyhaza, a combined 4.06 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.8%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–17.0%
- 1–26.4%
- 3–15.8%
Recent form
Majosi
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kaposvar · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyiregyhaza · 1-8 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Iváncsa · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Érdi VSE · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Ferencváros II · 0-5 (L)
Nyiregyhaza
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Budapest Honved · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:45:00.000Z · A vs Zalaegerszegi TE · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Zemplín Michalovce · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ferencvarosi TC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Majosi · 8-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · Majosi 1-8 Nyiregyhaza (Magyar Kupa)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Majosi win, at 47.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.