· Analysis updated 09:31 UTC
Makedonikos Siatista vs Eordaikos Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.99 expected goals for Makedonikos Siatista and 0.54 for Eordaikos, a combined total of 1.53. That distribution gives Makedonikos Siatista the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 20% for over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Makedonikos Siatista win
45.5% probability
Expected goals
0.99 – 0.54
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eordaikos away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Makedonikos Siatista to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 35% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.99 goals for Makedonikos Siatista and 0.54 for Eordaikos, a combined 1.53 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 20% and both teams to score at 26%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
65%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–021.7%
- 1–021.4%
- 0–111.7%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–010.6%
Recent form
Makedonikos Siatista
Eordaikos
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Doxa Mascholouriou · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Makedonikos Siatista · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Evosmou · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sarakinos · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Asteras Kard. · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makedonikos Siatista | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Veria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Anagennisi Artas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Eordaikos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Alexandros Florinas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Doxa Mascholouriou | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Kastoria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Naousa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | PAS Giannina | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 10 | Thyella Katsikas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 11 | Vatolakkos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Makedonikos Siatista win, at 45.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 26% and over 2.5 goals at 20%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.