Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · NOFV-Nord - 212:00
MakkabiLLWLD

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Sunday, 16 August 2026

· Analysis updated 17:46 UTC

Makkabi vs Tennis Borussia Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Makkabi and 2.00 for Tennis Borussia, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Tennis Borussia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tennis Borussia win

49.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.50 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Makkabi home form

    5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Tennis Borussia away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Makkabi win29%
Draw22%
Tennis Borussia win49%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.1%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–36.0%

Recent form

Makkabi

  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Siedenbollentin · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lichtenberg · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 1-2 (L)

Tennis Borussia

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Optik Rathenow · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Siedenbollentin · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Lichtenberg · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Anker Wismar · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · Makkabi 0-0 Tennis Borussia (Oberliga - Nordost-Nord)
  • 2026-03-08T11:00:00.000Z · Makkabi 4-1 Tennis Borussia (Oberliga - Nordost-Nord)
  • 2025-09-14T10:00:00.000Z · Makkabi 3-0 Tennis Borussia (Oberliga - Nordost-Nord)
  • 2025-04-06T10:00:00.000Z · Makkabi 4-1 Tennis Borussia (Oberliga - Nordost-Nord)
  • 2024-10-06T12:00:00.000Z · Makkabi 0-2 Tennis Borussia (Oberliga - Nordost-Nord)
  • 2024-03-16T12:00:00.000Z · Makkabi 1-1 Tennis Borussia (Oberliga - Nordost-Nord)
  • 2023-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · Makkabi 0-0 Tennis Borussia (Oberliga - Nordost-Nord)

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Tennis Borussia win, at 49.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.