Republican Central Stadium · Analysis updated 16:49 UTC
Malaysia W vs Palestine W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Malaysia W and 1.45 for Palestine W, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives Malaysia W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Malaysia W win
45.1% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Malaysia W home form
3 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Palestine W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Malaysia W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 23% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Malaysia W and 1.45 for Palestine W, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–27.5%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Malaysia W
- 2026-07-16T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Singapore W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-10T12:45:00.000Z · A vs Laos W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Palestine W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Jordan W · 3-4 (L)
- 2025-11-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Azerbaijan W · 0-2 (L)
Palestine W
- 2026-10-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lebanon W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T11:15:00.000Z · A vs Lebanon W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Jordan W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Malaysia W · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-07-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tajikistan W · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Malaysia W win, at 45.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.