Obecny futbalovy stadion Malzenice · Analysis updated 16:48 UTC
Malženice vs Liptovský Mikuláš Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Malženice and 1.13 for Liptovský Mikuláš, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Malženice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Malženice win
45.8% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Malženice home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Liptovský Mikuláš away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Malženice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 26% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Malženice and 1.13 for Liptovský Mikuláš, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–08.1%
Recent form
Malženice
- 2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Liptovský Mikuláš · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotíva Zvolen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Prešov · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Galanta · 0-1 (L)
Liptovský Mikuláš
- 2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Šamorín · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Malženice · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-23T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Levoča · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Zlaté Moravce · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petržalka | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Šamorín | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Považská Bystrica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Pohronie | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 | Žilina II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 | Inter Bratislava | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 19 |
| 7 | Galanta | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Tatran Prešov | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Liptovský Mikuláš | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 10 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Slovan Bratislava II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Zlaté Moravce | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Malženice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | MFK Bytča | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 9 |
| 15 | Humenné | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Lokomotíva Zvolen | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -14 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Malženice win, at 45.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.